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Oracle

Oracles are essential infrastructure components that feed real-time, off-chain data (such as price feeds, weather, or sports results) into blockchain smart contracts. Without decentralized oracles like Chainlink and Pyth, DeFi could not function. In 2026, oracles have evolved to support verifiable randomness and cross-chain data synchronization. This tag covers the technical evolution of data availability, tamper-proof price feeds, and the critical role oracles play in ensuring the deterministic execution of complex decentralized applications.

5216 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Will the Senate’s leaked DeFi bill drain what’s left of US liquidity?

Will the Senate’s leaked DeFi bill drain what’s left of US liquidity?

The post Will the Senate’s leaked DeFi bill drain what’s left of US liquidity? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A confidential draft bill circulating among Senate Democrats proposes sweeping new oversight of DeFi, extending Know-Your-Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money-Laundering (AML) duties to DeFi interfaces, validators, and even node operators. According to reports, the leaked bill was intended as the Democrats’ counterweight to the House-backed market-structure bill. However, internal backlash has reportedly stalled those broader discussions inside the Senate Banking Committee. Under the leaked framework, all DeFi applications enabling financial transactions must implement front-end KYC controls, potentially including browser-based wallets and liquidity interfaces. The leaked language also places new responsibility on oracle operators, potentially exposing them to enforcement if price feeds are linked to “sanctioned” protocols. The Treasury Department would also gain authority to create a “restricted list” of protocols deemed too risky for US users. Senator Ruben Gallego claimed that the Democrats’ bill represents the party’s attempt to build bipartisan consensus on crypto market structure. According to him: “Democrats have shown up ready to work… They asked for paper and substance, and we delivered.” Market impact The move has ignited a fresh round of partisan tension in Washington, with Republican lawmakers and crypto industry figures warning that it could cripple innovation and push US Bitcoin and Ethereum liquidity offshore. To understand the risk, one has to consider the current landscape where US-based platforms account for only a small fraction of global volume. According to Newhedge data, US crypto trading venues already capture less than 10% of global trading volume, while the top eight (mainly offshore) platforms account for roughly 90% of global market depth. Graph comparing the trading volume for US and offshore crypto exchanges from 2013 to 2025 (Source: Newedge) These numbers show that liquidity already gravitates to platforms with fewer regulatory constraints. The Senate proposal’s forced compliance at the protocol level could accelerate that flight. If US users…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

IOTA Strengthens Its Global Footprint in Q3 2025 With New Tech and Government Collaborations

IOTA Strengthens Its Global Footprint in Q3 2025 With New Tech and Government Collaborations

2025 is almost over, and the IOTA network made big strides in Q2 with the launch of TWIN and advances in IOTA Identity. IOTA’s progress report for the third quarter of the year reveals that some initiatives are expected to continue into Q4.  This month, the IOTA Foundation celebrated 10 years of innovation on October [...]]]>

Author: Crypto News Flash

2025/10/10

Altcoins Poised to Rally with Polymarket’s Growth

Altcoins Poised to Rally with Polymarket’s Growth

The post Altcoins Poised to Rally with Polymarket’s Growth appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket has made headlines this week, with multiple developments surrounding the prediction platform. It is gaining legitimacy with ICE exploring a $9 billion deal and Wall Street taking notice. Against these backdrops, the network’s effect plays out across multiple chains and protocols that power its decentralized prediction markets. Sponsored Sponsored Altcoin Stacks Powering Polymarket’s Breakout Moment BeInCrypto recently reported that Polymarket could host the biggest airdrop in the industry. This, coupled with headlines about a prospective ICE investment, positions select altcoins to benefit from the platform’s growing valuation. 1. UMA: The Silent Backbone of Prediction Markets UMA is important to Polymarket, but no one is paying attention. While all eyes are on Polymarket’s explosive growth, UMA remains the quiet infrastructure layer that makes decentralized predictions possible. Polymarket uses UMA’s Optimistic Oracle (OO) to verify market outcomes transparently. This decentralized data verification mechanism allows proposers and disputers to determine the truth on-chain, without relying on any central authority. “Polymarket supports UMA as a resolution source for markets displayed on the Polymarket.com interface. Polymarket, at its core, is oracle agonistic, but the UMA integration provides another option for market creators,” the platform shared in a recent blog. Under the hood, UMA’s oracle ensures that every prediction, whether on elections, markets, or sports, can be settled securely and trustlessly. The UMA-CTF adapter deployed on Polygon connects Polymarket’s conditional token framework (CTF) to UMA’s oracle, making every market resolution verifiable. Despite this essential role, investors largely overlook UMA, focusing on Polymarket’s front-end success. If sentiment shifts toward recognizing the oracle’s importance, UMA could see significant upside as demand for on-chain data verification grows. Sponsored Sponsored UMA Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto 2. Polygon (MATIC): The Chain Powering Polymarket’s Scalability Polymarket runs entirely on Polygon’s Proof-of-Stake network, benefiting from its low-cost, high-speed infrastructure. The platform’s recent…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

The fake project OracleBNB siphoned off 34 BNB, worth approximately $43,000, in 11 minutes.

The fake project OracleBNB siphoned off 34 BNB, worth approximately $43,000, in 11 minutes.

PANews reported on October 10th that GoPlus revealed that the fraudulent OracleBNB project siphoned off 34 BNB (approximately $43,000) in just 11 minutes. A Twitter account followed by several prominent crypto influencers reportedly changed its name to @OracleBNB, claiming to be involved in the BNB prediction market and falsely advertising a partnership with Four.meme. The account subsequently issued the OracleBNB token, driving its market capitalization to over $3 million, before immediately engaging in a pump-and-dump operation, siphoning off 34 BNB (approximately $43,000) in a mere 11 minutes. Previously, Four.meme denied the news of OracleBNB cooperation. Currently, Oracle has cancelled its account and the relevant tokens have returned to zero.

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

Global Tech Leaders Unite to Propel Emerging Future-Critical Sectors at GITEX GLOBAL 2025

Global Tech Leaders Unite to Propel Emerging Future-Critical Sectors at GITEX GLOBAL 2025

GITEX GLOBAL, the world's largest tech and AI event, celebrates its 45th edition in 2025. Organised by Dubai World Trade Centre from 13-17 October.

Author: Crypto Breaking News

2025/10/10

SoftBank in talks for $5B loan backed by Arm Stake to fund AI push

SoftBank in talks for $5B loan backed by Arm Stake to fund AI push

The post SoftBank in talks for $5B loan backed by Arm Stake to fund AI push appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. SoftBank Group Corp. is in advanced talks to secure a $5 billion loan from international banks, signaling the Japanese investment giant’s efforts to ease financial constraints around its nearly $100 billion Vision Fund following the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The loan would be backed by shares of Arm Holdings Plc, the British chip design firm controlled by SoftBank. Sources familiar with the matter, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the discussions, said the deal is nearing completion and could be finalized in the coming weeks. The additional capital would allow SoftBank to increase its investments in OpenAI and other leading AI ventures. A SoftBank spokesperson declined to comment. Son Leverages Margin Loans to Fuel SoftBank’s AI Ambitions The loan is another bold play by Masayoshi Son, founder and chief executive officer of SoftBank, who has been vocal about wanting to turn the group into a powerhouse in the global AI revolution. The financing is structured as a margin loan, a mechanism that lets borrowers access cash by pledging securities. The financing is structured as a margin loan, a mechanism that allows borrowers to receive cash by using securities — in this case, ARM shares, which have surged by roughly 38% in 2025. The arrangement provides lenders with solid collateral while giving SoftBank additional flexibility to pursue its AI-focused strategy. Should the new facility be completed, it would increase the total amount borrowed on margin against the company’s stock to approximately $18.5 billion, compared with approximately $13.5 billion as of March 2025, according to its most recent financial filings. SoftBank has used this structure in the past. Before Arm’s blockbuster initial public offering (IPO) in 2023, the company borrowed about $8 billion in loans against its shares. Those facilities were structured, in part, by the biggest lenders…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

Investing in This Crypto Now Is Like Buying XRP in 2021 – Here’s Why

Investing in This Crypto Now Is Like Buying XRP in 2021 – Here’s Why

Catching XRP early in 2021 was the kind of timing most investors chase—but chances like that are rare. In a market crowded with short-lived launches and empty promises, finding a project with real traction and clear utility is the exception, not the rule. That’s why many in the space are paying attention to Mutuum Finance […]

Author: Cryptopolitan

2025/10/10

Crypto Prediction Market Outlook: If Stablecoins Solve “Payment”, Can Prediction Markets Solve “Truth”?

Crypto Prediction Market Outlook: If Stablecoins Solve “Payment”, Can Prediction Markets Solve “Truth”?

Introduction: Stablecoins have proven crypto's "payment value," while prediction markets are attempting to prove its "information value." Within the cryptocurrency market, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have seen soaring trading volumes, making them one of the sectors closest to real-world applications. However, outside the market, prediction markets are still viewed as gambling, struggling to gain mainstream acceptance. This article will analyze the current state of prediction markets, their path to breakthroughs, and future trends, exploring whether they can become the next cornerstone connecting crypto and reality, following stablecoins. Author: Shigeru CGV Research Over the past two years, prediction markets have become the most controversial, yet most promising, "real-world application" in the crypto industry. Within the industry, it has already spread beyond leading platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, with trading volume climbing rapidly. However, outside of the industry, it is still viewed as gambling, making it difficult for mainstream investors to incorporate it into their asset allocation. However, the question arises: Can prediction markets, like stablecoins, truly break through the boundaries of their niche and become the next cornerstone connecting the crypto industry with the real world? Can they become the next internet-level fintech product? Crypto Prediction Market Ecosystem (Messari) Analysis of the current situation: prosperity within the circle and the cognitive gap outside the circle Why is it that the same market is so hot within the crypto community, yet so rarely seen outside? The prediction market is a prime example of this phenomenon. On the one hand, the popularity in the circle continues to rise. Platforms represented by Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold have established relatively stable traffic and narratives in the crypto community. Crypto Prediction Market Share Statistics (Dune, 20251006) With its simple interface and USD stablecoin settlement, Polymarket has become a key venue for discussing events such as the US election, macroeconomic data, and crypto airdrops. By 2025, Polymarket's cumulative trading volume had exceeded $7.5 billion, with August's volume exceeding $618 million, primarily driven by political events and macroeconomic forecasts. During the 2024 US election, Polymarket gave Trump a 99% chance of victory at 1:30 AM Eastern Time, while Fox News didn't announce the results until 1:47 AM, and other media outlets delayed even longer. Continuous arbitrage and the rising marginal cost of shifting prices away from fair value make prediction market errors short-lived and easily correctable. Manifold, with its light entertainment model of "social + prediction," has attracted over 200,000 users, becoming a "new voting pool" for community users to obtain information and express their opinions. However, in 2025, Manifold's daily active users fell to a historic low of 886, highlighting the challenges of user retention. In addition, Kalshi has emerged as a compliant platform, with a trading volume of US$1.3 billion in September 2025, accounting for 62.2% of global prediction market activities and dominating the market in sports event predictions. On the other hand, awareness outside the circle is still insufficient. The general public often equates prediction markets with gambling, lacking an appreciation for their value in information aggregation and probabilistic pricing. Even when mainstream US media began occasionally citing Polymarket data, prediction markets remained largely unknown. For example, a 2025 report in The Economist noted that low liquidity hindered participation by large investors, limiting market credibility. The lack of regulatory compliance and authoritative endorsements hindered mainstream adoption. Despite Kalshi recording $208 million in trading volume during the March Madness event in March 2025, the public still viewed it as gambling rather than an informational tool. Cross-circle expansion strategy: multi-dimensional integration and innovation path If the prediction market truly wants to break out, it needs more than just technological upgrades; it needs to find new narratives and entry points. Politics, macroeconomics, entertainment and sports, and even the native Web3 ecosystem are all potential breakout points. 1. Anchored in real-world events: Traffic portals for politics, economics, and entertainment The prediction market naturally has a strong correlation with real events, and sectors such as politics, economy, entertainment and sports are the best entry points for it to break through the circle. Political events such as the US presidential election, the UK's Brexit referendum, and the probability of a bill passing are all difficult for traditional polls to accurately predict. Prediction markets, due to their price-based mechanism, often provide more real-time indicators that are closer to true probabilities. For example, the 2025 Federal Reserve interest rate decision market on Polymarket saw trading volume exceeding $50 million. Users hedged their risk by betting on the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike. Macroeconomics: Sensitive financial market events such as CPI releases, non-farm payroll data, and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions are key focus for institutions and investors. Prediction markets can provide a real-time representation of market expectations. During the 2025 carry trade unwind in the yen, oracle-based prediction markets predicted a 15% depreciation of the yen several weeks in advance, while the stock market was slower to react. Entertainment and Sports: Events like the Oscars, the World Cup, and the Olympics command widespread public attention, naturally attracting a significant number of users outside of entertainment circles to prediction market platforms. For example, in the 2025 prediction market on Kalshi regarding Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's engagement, a trader bought a contract at $0.37 and ultimately made a profit of $50,000. This garnered widespread media coverage and drove an influx of users from the entertainment industry. 2. Media and Public Opinion Collaboration: Transforming from Data Sources to Authoritative Indicators If the prediction market is to break through its circle, it must become a referenced data source. Polling Alternatives: In the United States, some media outlets have begun using Polymarket prices as a supplement or even a substitute for polling. Unlike traditional polling, which relies on questionnaires, prediction market prices reflect "real money bets," thus providing greater signal value. In 2025, Yale Insights reported an increase in citations of political prediction markets, but warned of caution regarding their accuracy. Real-time Probability Indicators: News reports that cite real-time prediction market data, such as "The market indicates a 72% probability of a September Fed rate hike," will greatly enhance the authority and reach of prediction markets. For example, in 2025, Barron's magazine directly cited Kalshi data as an indicator of event predictions when reporting on March Madness. 3. Deep Integration of the Web3 Ecosystem: Derivative Tools and Social Closed Loops DeFi Integration: Prediction markets can become part of on-chain derivatives, providing users with risk hedging tools. For example, they can hedge against uncertain events like interest rates, policies, and even token listings. In 2025, Polymarket's integration with DeFi platforms enabled users to hedge on-chain in the Bitcoin price prediction market, generating $430 million in trading volume. SocialFi integration: KOLs can initiate prediction contracts, allowing fans to directly participate and creating a revenue-and-traffic cycle. The emerging platform Melee raised $3.5 million in 2025 and launched a "viral prediction market," allowing users to create social prediction events without any barriers to entry. RWA Integration: Prediction markets are inherently similar to derivatives, and in the future, they could potentially be integrated with RWA (real-world asset) derivatives to become alternative on-chain trading tools. Kalshi's attempt to integrate RWA in 2025 helped push its trading volume above Polymarket for three consecutive weeks. Private company tokenization: Tokenizing private companies presents significant challenges, including founder resistance, legal risks, spurious "governance" rights, and insufficient liquidity. Prediction markets can more easily address similar needs. By creating markets on company events (such as the probability of a successful financing), users can indirectly speculate on private assets without the complexities of tokenization. 4. Technical experience upgrade: user-friendliness and lower barriers to entry AMM + NFT: Utilizing automated market making mechanisms and NFT share-based design, it makes "buying into an idea" more intuitive and lowers the barrier to entry. Manifold's NFT-based prediction share attracted new users in 2025, but overall activity still needs to be improved. Lightweight entry: Through Telegram bots and WeChat mini-programs, participation in the prediction market is as simple as "initiating a vote," helping outsiders quickly gain access. Polymarket's mobile optimization is expected to drive 20% user growth by 2025. Analysis of Development Bottlenecks: Regulation, Mobility, and Narrative Every boom is bound to encounter bottlenecks. The challenge for prediction markets isn't whether they have value, but whether they can sustain themselves. Regulation, liquidity, and narrative are three crucial hurdles. 1. Regulatory Gray Area: The Boundary Game Between Gambling and Derivatives Prediction markets exist in a nebulous area between gambling and financial derivatives. In the US, the CFTC's approval of Kalshi set a precedent, but most platforms still operate in a gray area. In September 2025, the CFTC approved Polymarket to re-enter the US market, but Commissioner Kristin Johnson warned of insufficient regulatory safeguards and a lack of market visibility. While Hong Kong, Singapore, and other places offer potential regulatory windows, they currently lack clear policies. Regulatory uncertainty limits the ability of prediction markets to attract institutional users. For example, PrizePicks obtained NFA FCM registration in 2025, launching a compliant prediction market. However, the industry as a whole still faces legal challenges, potentially reaching the Supreme Court. 2. Liquidity Shortcomings: Lack of Fund Pool Size and Network Effect Most prediction markets have a concentrated pool of funding for a few popular events, leaving long-tail markets with a lack of liquidity, leading to price inefficiencies. Without attracting larger capital inflows, prediction markets will struggle to achieve the "network effect" of information aggregation. The 2025 report shows that low liquidity prevents large hedging demands from being met, impacting accuracy. For example, Manifold's long-tail market has fewer than 1,000 active users, making it difficult to support complex forecasts. 3. Narrative Cognitive Bias: The Difficulty of Transforming from “Gambling” to “Information Market” The public's stereotype of prediction markets remains that they are "gambling" rather than "probabilistic information markets." Without the endorsement of authoritative institutions, this narrative will be difficult to quickly reverse. Media reports in 2025 emphasized that despite a surge in trading volume in prediction markets, a lack of regulation has led to a lack of public trust. Future Trend Outlook: Mainstream Integration and Long-term Value Positioning Stablecoins have solved the payment problem, and the next thing that can prove the true value of cryptocurrencies may be prediction markets. It may not be now, but the direction is clear. To achieve true cross-circle dissemination, prediction markets must go beyond the self-circulation of crypto users and be embedded in a broader narrative. Media datafication: Becoming a real-time forecast indicator in reporting Prediction markets need to become a commonplace probabilistic indicator in news coverage, fostering public acceptance of market prices as a proxy for "collective expectations." A 2025 KPMG report shows that prediction markets continue to grow in popularity, with media citations increasing by 30% year-over-year. In the future, data from Polymarket and Kalshi will continue to appear in mainstream news and financial programming. Journalists must reference prediction market probabilities if they want to maintain credibility when covering elections, macroeconomics, or sporting events. Regulatory evolution: Compliance opens the door to institutional funding The CFTC's technical upgrades and feedback mechanisms are expected to be completed by October 2025. Polymarket's return to the US market and Kalshi's victory in the regulatory battle mean that the prediction market will have a clearer path forward in terms of event contract listing, clearing methods, and institutional capital participation. This not only symbolizes "legitimization" but will also become a prerequisite for institutional capital to enter the market. Institutionalization of liquidity: the influx of professional funds and trading teams As regulations become clearer, professional funds will be the first to enter the market. This trend has already begun to emerge, from the launch of a pure prediction market fund with tens of millions of dollars under management to quantitative institutions establishing dedicated prediction market trading departments (not only for market making but also for directional trading). SIG's provision of market making services for Kalshi is a clear precedent. Product Financialization: Derivativeization and Terminalization of Prediction Market The ultimate form of prediction markets is likely to evolve into a new type of derivatives exchange. Experts predict that by 2030, the global prediction market could reach $1 trillion. Simultaneously, prediction market data will gradually integrate with professional terminals like Bloomberg and Refinitiv, offering real-time quotes, historical records, alerts, charts, and native API support for Excel, Python, and news editing systems. At that point, editors and traders will be able to directly process prediction market probability data, just as they do with stock prices, interest rates, and exchange rates. In summary, the true value of prediction markets lies not only in enabling people to place bets but also in giving information a price. Stablecoins have already proven their real-world value as a payment method, and the next area to be verified may be the pricing of information. The current situation of the prediction market is similar to that of the early stablecoin market. Whoever can understand its potential may stand on the next cornerstone of the industry in advance. Note: This article is a CGV research report and does not constitute any investment advice. It is for reference only.

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

Samsung's stock approaches a record high

Samsung's stock approaches a record high

Samsung's stock approaches a record high due to positive feelings about AI and chips.

Author: Cryptopolitan

2025/10/10

Asia Morning Briefing: Polymarket’s POLY Could Bring Oracle's Home

Asia Morning Briefing: Polymarket’s POLY Could Bring Oracle's Home

Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making news in the markets:Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook Americas.ANALYSISPolymarket's potential launch of the POLY token may mark the end of UMA’s reign over prediction markets and the beginning of an era where truth itself is governed in-house.So far, the token has only been teased. Nothing is known about the tokenomics or utility of the token, but given complaints from the community, it's possible to speculate on what it might be.After years of outsourcing resolution to UMA’s 'optimistic' oracle, a system where anyone can propose an outcome by staking collateral and UMA token holders vote to settle disputes, an arrangement that recently produced multiple episodes of whale-led manipulation, the occasional contradiction from Polymarket itself, and community outrage, Polymarket might be building its own truth layer – a mechanism to resolve markets in-house.Hypothetically, the token would likely sit beside the betting engine, not inside it: wagers in USDC, governance and curation in POLY. That separation could be the key to what UMA never solved: finding a way to make decentralized truth expensive to corrupt and fast enough to trust.UMA’s tokenomics were designed around an “optimistic oracle” where UMA token holders vote to resolve disputes. In theory, UMA voters are rewarded for aligning with the majority and penalized for voting incorrectly, creating a "Schelling-point" model of truth.In theory, this structure rewards consensus, not necessarily accuracy. Large UMA token holders can potentially sway outcomes to protect their own positions, while smaller voters are incentivized to follow majority signals rather than independently verify facts.Because rewards are paid in UMA regardless of whether the final result accurately reflects reality, critics argue that the system often prioritizes coordination over correctness. This leaves markets theoretically vulnerable to potential manipulation, as seen during the saga of Ukraine-themed betting contracts, when truth and token incentives diverge.If Polymarket internalizes resolution through POLY, it could signal a broader shift in how decentralized truth is financed and maintained. By separating wagers from governance, Polymarket would be able to price honesty independently of the outcome of any single bet.UMA showed that decentralized oracles can be built, but not that they can be fully trusted when incentives drift from truth. POLY, if it exists as envisioned, could restore the link between accuracy and reward that prediction markets were supposed to embody.In that sense, the coming token is not just another governance asset. Instead, it's a bet on whether truth can finally be made liquid, accountable, and owned by the market it serves.But of course, this is just informed speculation.Market Movement:BTC: Bitcoin is trading above $121,700,trading lower after a failed push above $124,000, with profit-taking across metals and crypto triggering over $600 million in liquidations and a rotation back into BTC as market dominance climbs above 59%ETH: Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $4,376, down 3.2% in the past 24 hours as traders rotate out of altcoins amid renewed risk aversion, though long-term sentiment remains supported by institutional accumulation and optimism around the upcoming Fusaka upgrade.Gold: Gold is trading around $4,040 per ounce, easing slightly from record highs as investors take profits after the metal’s historic rally, though demand remains firm amid persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns.Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell Friday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 0.33%, as investors assessed economic risks and revisited trade tensions between Washington and Tokyo, even as expectations of continued loose policy under incoming Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi kept the yen weak and stocks near record highs.Elsewhere in Crypto'Bitcoin Jesus' to Settle U.S. Tax, Fraud Charges: NYT (CoinDesk)Monad Teases Airdrop as Ethereum, Solana Rival Nears Long-Awaited Network Launch (Decrypt)Digital Currency Group subsidiary Yuma launches asset management division with two flagship funds (The Block)

Author: Coinstats

2025/10/10

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