Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

896 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading

Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading

BitcoinWorld Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading Have you heard about Robinhood’s latest game-changing move? The popular trading platform is diving deep into the prediction market space by partnering with Susquehanna International Group to create a CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange. This strategic expansion could reshape how we bet on future events, from politics to economics, all while tapping into a multi-billion dollar opportunity. […] This post Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Bernstein says Robinhood wants to leverage distribution edge for greater prediction-market share as Coinbase readies December move

Bernstein says Robinhood wants to leverage distribution edge for greater prediction-market share as Coinbase readies December move

The Bernstein analysts also expect Coinbase to unveil its own prediction-markets platform at its Dec. 17 event.

Author: The Block
Robinhood to Launch 2026 Derivatives Exchange, Expanding Its Fast-Growing Prediction Market

Robinhood to Launch 2026 Derivatives Exchange, Expanding Its Fast-Growing Prediction Market

The post Robinhood to Launch 2026 Derivatives Exchange, Expanding Its Fast-Growing Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Robinhood is intensifying its revenue diversification by expanding the prediction market business, now highlighted as one of its fastest-growing income streams. In a Tuesday release, the platform confirmed plans to broaden its digital-market footprint with an upcoming futures and derivatives exchange and a dedicated clearinghouse. Since partnering with Kalshi in March to launch the prediction market, more than 1 million users have traded above 9 billion contracts, signaling robust demand and meaningful engagement. Looking ahead, Robinhood targets a 2026 derivatives exchange launch, majority-owned by Robinhood and supported by SIG as the initial liquidity provider. The company also disclosed its MIAXdx acquisition, a CFTC-licensed clearing organization and swap-execution facility, to strengthen execution and risk-management capabilities. The strategic push aims to elevate trading infrastructure, deliver innovative products, and deepen participation in crypto-adjacent markets while maintaining strict regulatory compliance. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/robinhood-to-launch-2026-derivatives-exchange-expanding-its-fast-growing-prediction-market

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood Eyes 2026 Derivatives Exchange Launch as Prediction Markets Surge

Robinhood Eyes 2026 Derivatives Exchange Launch as Prediction Markets Surge

The post Robinhood Eyes 2026 Derivatives Exchange Launch as Prediction Markets Surge appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Robinhood prediction markets have seen nine billion contracts traded by over one million users since launching in March 2025, marking rapid growth in this innovative trading segment. The platform is expanding with a new futures and derivatives exchange set for 2026, enhancing offerings for retail investors interested in event-based betting. Robinhood’s prediction markets launched in […] Source: https://en.coinotag.com/robinhood-eyes-2026-derivatives-exchange-launch-as-prediction-markets-surge

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase Ventures 2026 Outlook: Focus on RWA Perpetual Contracts, Prop-AMM Trading Terminals, Next-Gen DeFi, and AI & Robotics (COIN)

Coinbase Ventures 2026 Outlook: Focus on RWA Perpetual Contracts, Prop-AMM Trading Terminals, Next-Gen DeFi, and AI & Robotics (COIN)

The post Coinbase Ventures 2026 Outlook: Focus on RWA Perpetual Contracts, Prop-AMM Trading Terminals, Next-Gen DeFi, and AI & Robotics (COIN) appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Coinbase Ventures’ 2026 Outlook targets funding at the intersection of real-world assets and DeFi. It outlines priority themes: RWA perpetual contracts; specialized trading platforms and terminals, including Prop-AMM and prediction-market terminals; next-generation DeFi with Perp Markets composability, uncollateralized borrowing, and on-chain privacy; and advances in artificial intelligence and robotics, such as humanoid data ecosystems, transparent proof, and secure on-chain AI development. The firm is actively sourcing teams aligned with these lanes and invites credible proposals. From an investment perspective, the Outlook signals selective capital deployment to projects with scalable architecture, robust risk controls, and cross-chain interoperability. For readers, it signals potential cadence for rounds and partnerships in asset markets, governance, and AI-enabled security. Stakeholders should monitor updates for co-development opportunities and diligence criteria, as credibility and traction in RWA liquidity and privacy-preserving tech become differentiators in a crowded funding landscape. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/coinbase-ventures-2026-outlook-focus-on-rwa-perpetual-contracts-prop-amm-trading-terminals-next-gen-defi-and-ai-robotics-coin

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto Ally Leads Fed Race as Trump Signals Major Shift

Crypto Ally Leads Fed Race as Trump Signals Major Shift

The post Crypto Ally Leads Fed Race as Trump Signals Major Shift appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kevin Hassett, a former Coinbase advisor who holds over $1 million in COIN stock, leads the Federal Reserve Chair race with a 56% nomination probability on prediction markets. As Trump’s criticism of Jerome Powell grows, final interviews are underway through Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Sponsored Sponsored Hassett Emerges as Frontrunner Amid Volatile Prediction Markets Kalshi prediction markets currently give Kevin Hassett a 55% chance of nomination for the role of Federal Reserve Chair. This represents a 15% increase in the last 24 hours, placing him well above Christopher Waller (20%) and Kevin Warsh (15%). Fed Chair Predictions. Source: Kalshi As the former chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Hassett is known for advocating rate cuts and maintaining direct ties to the crypto industry. Kevin Hassett is now the leading candidate for Fed chair, he has recently backed a 50 basis point cut in December. The 10-year Treasury yield is already below 4%, reflecting growing market confidence. Looking forward, I believe the 10-year could drop further, targeting the 3% to… — Steve Grasso (@grassosteve) November 25, 2025 Coinbase officially announced its Global Advisory Council in late November 2025, confirming Hassett’s position. The Council helps guide the company’s engagement with global regulators, illustrating the growing relationship between crypto firms and policymakers. As a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Hassett has promoted a more accommodative monetary policy through 2024 and 2025. Therefore, his strong pro-rate cut approach sets him apart from the hawkish stance under current Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Sponsored Sponsored However, Hassett’s experience as a Coinbase advisor and his substantial holdings of COIN stock create a direct link to the crypto sector. This raises both concerns about potential conflicts of interest and hopes for a shift in the Fed’s approach to digital assets. Meanwhile, President Trump has amplified…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood Expands Prediction Markets with Futures Exchange by 2026

Robinhood Expands Prediction Markets with Futures Exchange by 2026

The post Robinhood Expands Prediction Markets with Futures Exchange by 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Points: Robinhood’s prediction market expansion, futures exchange launch, and MIAXdx acquisition. Launch of derivatives exchange in 2026. Robinhood’s prediction markets generate $100M annually in under one year. Robinhood has announced its prediction market, a key growth area since March, is driving plans for a futures and derivatives exchange, marking significant expansion in financial tech services. This expansion reflects Robinhood’s financial success and strategic growth, impacting its market position and influencing broader crypto trading activities, particularly in ETH and BTC transactions. Robinhood Reaches Nine Billion Contracts Milestone with Kalshi Robinhood, in partnership with the prediction market platform Kalshi, reported over nine billion contracts traded by one million users since March. As demand grows, Robinhood plans to launch a futures and derivatives exchange in 2026, acquiring MIAXdx for strengthened infrastructure. Robinhood’s expansion includes establishing a derivatives clearinghouse, reflecting its ambition to cement a stronger presence in the market. The derivatives exchange aims to deepen Robinhood’s presence in the prediction market with Susquehanna International Group as the initial liquidity provider. Coincu’s research indicates that Robinhood’s expansion initiatives could prompt broader financial participation. The infrastructure build-up and focus on regulatory compliance illustrate a shift towards a comprehensive financial ecosystem. This strategy may position Robinhood as a key player in market innovation, offering diversified financial products to a growing user base. “Prediction markets are on fire,” Vlad Tenev, Robinhood’s CEO, emphasized, highlighting their rapid growth. The prediction markets have become the company’s fastest-growing revenue stream, generating $100 million annually. Vlad Tenev also noted record transaction volumes and user engagement, as Robinhood attracted 2.5 million new funded customers over the past year. Contract Volume Doubles Quarterly, Driving Financial Engagement Did you know? Robinhood’s venture into prediction markets saw contract volume doubling every quarter since its launch, solidifying its rapid growth trajectory in fintech sectors. Ethereum(ETH),…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Nevada Court Greenlights State Crackdown On Kalshi

Nevada Court Greenlights State Crackdown On Kalshi

The post Nevada Court Greenlights State Crackdown On Kalshi appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The cryptocurrency world faces another regulatory earthquake as a Nevada federal court delivers a stunning blow to decentralized prediction markets, allowing state authorities to pursue enforcement against platform Kalshi and potentially reshaping how these innovative markets operate across the United States. What Does This Prediction Market Ruling Mean for Crypto? A federal court in Nevada has removed crucial protection for prediction market platforms, lifting the temporary injunction that Kalshi had previously secured. This decision empowers state regulators to take direct enforcement action against the platform. The ruling fundamentally challenges how prediction markets have operated under federal exemptions, creating immediate uncertainty for the entire sector. Why Nevada’s Prediction Market Crackdown Matters Nevada regulators initially issued a cease-and-desist letter to Kalshi in March, warning of both civil and criminal penalties. The state alleged multiple legal violations, particularly focusing on how these platforms handle sports-related contracts. The court’s latest decision validates Nevada’s position, suggesting that prediction market platforms cannot automatically claim federal protection from state oversight. The legal battle centers on a critical distinction: whether prediction market contracts qualify as swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act. The court determined they do not, meaning platforms like Kalshi lose their exemption from state regulation. This interpretation could affect every prediction market operating in the United States. How This Prediction Market Decision Changes Everything Previously, prediction market platforms registered as Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) enjoyed federal protection from state-level interference. This new ruling dismantles that protection, potentially exposing platforms to: Multiple state enforcement actions Varying regulatory requirements across jurisdictions Increased compliance costs Potential operational restrictions The decision creates immediate challenges for the prediction market industry, which must now navigate a patchwork of state regulations rather than relying on unified federal oversight. What’s Next for Prediction Market Platforms? This ruling represents a significant shift in how authorities…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
CFTC Opens Nominations for CEO Council on Digital Assets

CFTC Opens Nominations for CEO Council on Digital Assets

The post CFTC Opens Nominations for CEO Council on Digital Assets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Pham is currently the sole commissioner at the CFTC, and said the council will build on previous crypto initiatives to support the CFTC’s expanding mandate. The effort comes as her likely successor, SEC official Michael Selig, awaits a Senate vote. In recent testimony, Selig placed a lot of emphasis on the need for stronger federal oversight of spot digital asset markets and a more diverse, fully staffed CFTC leadership. Pham Pushes New CEO Council Acting CFTC chair Caroline Pham opened nominations for CEOs to serve on a newly proposed “CEO Innovation Council.” The goal of this body will be to help shape future policy discussions, including those related to digital assets and prediction markets, as the agency prepares for an expanded mandate. In a notice that was published Tuesday, Pham invited submissions until Dec. 8. Pham framed the initiative as a continuation of the agency’s previous digital asset efforts, including its “Crypto Sprint” program, a dedicated industry forum, and its ongoing involvement in congressional work around a comprehensive market structure bill. According to her, the new council is intended to help the CFTC “hit the ground running” as it tackles an expanded mission, ensuring markets stay “vibrant and resilient” while still maintaining strong protections for participants.  She explained that tapping experts and builders directly from the industry is very essential while the CFTC broadens its oversight of crypto markets and emerging prediction-market products. The timing of the council’s formation is still uncertain, especially given the CFTC’s unusual leadership vacuum. Pham has been serving as the sole commissioner for months, and her tenure may soon end. SEC official Michael Selig has been nominated to become the Senate-confirmed chair of the CFTC, and his appointment is expected to advance to a floor vote once lawmakers return to Washington, DC after the Thanksgiving…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Market Shock: Nevada Court Greenlights State Crackdown on Kalshi

Prediction Market Shock: Nevada Court Greenlights State Crackdown on Kalshi

BitcoinWorld Prediction Market Shock: Nevada Court Greenlights State Crackdown on Kalshi The cryptocurrency world faces another regulatory earthquake as a Nevada federal court delivers a stunning blow to decentralized prediction markets, allowing state authorities to pursue enforcement against platform Kalshi and potentially reshaping how these innovative markets operate across the United States. What Does This Prediction Market Ruling Mean for Crypto? A federal court in Nevada […] This post Prediction Market Shock: Nevada Court Greenlights State Crackdown on Kalshi first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld