Celestia price analysis: Inside TIA’s 13% sell-off and what comes next

Celestia came under sharp pressure, sliding 13.55% in the last 24 hours and clearly underperforming the broader market’s 2.54% decline, while extending its weekly losses to nearly 9%.

Celestia’s sell-off reflected a sustained structural pressure rather than a sudden shock.

On the 1-day timeframe, the Celestia [TIA] price plummeted after losing the 50% Fibonacci level at $0.527. Then it slipped below the 30-day SMA near $0.518. That break signaled trend continuation.

Consequently, sellers pressed harder. Volume surged 132% to roughly $70 million, confirming distribution. Traders responded defensively.

Short-term participants reduced exposure, while momentum traders added shorts on failed bounces. This behavior persisted for several sessions, reinforcing downside control.

Meanwhile, RSI at 41.22 indicated weakening momentum rather than capitulation. As a result, bears now eye $0.473 as the next downside target.

A loss there could expose the $0.45 zone. However, bulls need to reclaim the $0.505 spot first. A daily close above $0.527 would shift the structure and invite mean reversion toward $0.60.

Until then, intent remains cautious. Liquidity favors reactive trades, not sustained accumulation.

Looking at the timeframe, it seems like the market will stabilize before making a clear move, as participants await confirmation from volume and momentum signals.

TIA’s price struggles despite easing unlock pressure

Celestia’s recent price performance reflects lingering tokenomics pressure, although conditions have improved structurally.

At genesis in 2023, inflation started near 8%. Since then, successive upgrades reduced issuance steadily. By late 2025, inflation had fallen close to 2.5%, marking a meaningful shift.

Importantly, the largest supply shocks faded earlier. Major VC and early investor unlocks will be concluded by late 2025.

At the beginning of 2026, the circulating supply of TIA stabilized near 870 million. That removed cliff risk. However, emissions did not disappear.

Staking rewards continue to add supply, with APYs near 8–10%. Consequently, dilution persists when demand remains weak.

From late 2025 into 2026, price action reflected this slow grind rather than panic selling. Sellers acted methodically, not aggressively.

Meanwhile, buyers waited for confirmation that issuance cuts translate into usage. Looking ahead, further inflation reductions could help sentiment.

Still, without stronger adoption and fee growth, tokenomics improvements alone may not reverse the trend immediately and decisively.

Final Thoughts

• TIA’s drop reflects sustained distribution and weak momentum, not panic. Heavy volume and lost support levels keep downside pressure intact toward $0.45–$0.47.
• With emissions ongoing and demand thin, recovery hinges on reclaiming $0.505–$0.527 and stronger adoption.