TON Price Prediction: Targeting $1.86-$2.28 Recovery by Year-End Despite Current Weakness

Iris Coleman
Dec 16, 2025 11:14

Toncoin shows bullish divergence signals with MACD turning positive despite 57% decline from highs. Technical analysis suggests TON price targets of $1.86-$2.28 within 2-4 weeks.

Toncoin has experienced significant volatility in recent months, currently trading 57% below its 52-week high of $3.56. However, emerging technical signals and analyst consensus suggest a potential recovery phase may be developing. This comprehensive TON price prediction examines the likelihood of a bounce toward $2+ levels before 2025 concludes.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• TON short-term target (1 week): $1.86 (+22.4% from current $1.52)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.84-$2.28 range (+21% to +50%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.71 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.44 (strong support confluence)

Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts

The latest analyst predictions show remarkable consistency in their Toncoin forecast, with multiple sources targeting the $1.84-$2.28 range. CoinCodex maintains a medium-confidence TON price prediction of $1.84 for the monthly outlook, representing a 26.37% upside from current levels. This conservative estimate aligns with their short-term $1.86 target for the weekly timeframe.

More aggressively, Blockchain.News projects a TON price target of $2.28, citing technical indicators that suggest a 40% rally potential by year-end. Their analysis highlights MACD momentum turning bullish, which aligns with current on-chain data showing a positive MACD histogram reading of 0.0061.

The convergence of these predictions around the $1.86-$2.28 zone creates a compelling case for upside potential, especially considering TON’s current oversold conditions with RSI at 37.99.

TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Reversal

Current Toncoin technical analysis reveals several bullish divergence signals despite recent price weakness. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.0061, indicating early momentum shift even as price remains near recent lows. This divergence often precedes significant price recoveries in cryptocurrency markets.

TON’s position relative to Bollinger Bands shows extreme oversold conditions, with the %B indicator at 0.1122, placing price very close to the lower band support at $1.50. The current trading range between $1.46-$1.58 over the past 24 hours demonstrates consolidation near these technical support levels.

Volume analysis from Binance spot trading shows $10.95 million in 24-hour volume, which while moderate, provides sufficient liquidity for a potential breakout move. The key resistance cluster around $1.71 (immediate resistance) represents the first major hurdle for any TON price prediction targeting higher levels.

Moving average analysis reveals TON trading below all major timeframes, with the 200-day SMA at $2.69 representing long-term resistance. However, the proximity of shorter-term averages (SMA 7 at $1.58, SMA 20 at $1.59) suggests potential for quick recovery if momentum builds.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for TON

The optimistic TON price prediction scenario targets the $2.28 level identified by Blockchain.News within 3-4 weeks. This represents a 50% gain from current levels and would require breaking through several resistance zones.

Primary upside targets include:
– First target: $1.71 (immediate resistance, +12.5%)
– Second target: $1.86 (analyst consensus, +22.4%)
– Extended target: $2.28 (aggressive forecast, +50%)

For this bullish Toncoin forecast to materialize, TON needs to maintain support above $1.50 and generate sustained buying volume above $15 million daily. A break above $1.71 with conviction would likely trigger algorithmic buying and push toward the $1.86-$2.00 zone rapidly.

Bearish Risk for Toncoin

The downside scenario for this TON price prediction involves a breakdown below the critical $1.44 support level, which coincides with both immediate and strong support identified in technical analysis. A decisive break below this level could trigger further selling toward the 52-week low of $1.47, creating a potential retest scenario.

Key bearish targets include:
– First downside: $1.44 (critical support break, -5.3%)
– Extended downside: $1.30-$1.35 (new low territory, -14% to -11%)

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, reduced network activity on The Open Network, or failure of the MACD momentum to sustain its bullish divergence.

Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy

Based on current Toncoin technical analysis, a staged entry approach offers the best risk-reward profile for this TON price prediction. The optimal buy zone exists between $1.50-$1.55, with current prices at $1.52 offering reasonable entry timing.

Recommended entry strategy:
– Initial position: 50% allocation at $1.50-$1.52
– Additional buying: 25% if TON dips to $1.47-$1.49
– Breakout entry: 25% above $1.71 confirmation

Risk management parameters:
– Stop-loss: $1.42 (below critical support)
– First profit target: $1.86 (22% gain)
– Extended target: $2.28 (50% gain)

Position sizing should remain conservative given TON’s high volatility (ATR of $0.09), suggesting potential for 6% daily price swings in either direction.

TON Price Prediction Conclusion

This comprehensive analysis supports a medium-confidence TON price prediction targeting $1.86-$2.28 within the next 2-4 weeks. The convergence of analyst forecasts, bullish MACD divergence, and extreme oversold conditions creates a favorable setup for Toncoin recovery.

Key indicators to monitor:
– MACD histogram maintaining positive readings above 0.005
– Daily volume sustaining above $12 million for breakout confirmation
– RSI recovery above 45 to signal momentum shift
– Bitcoin and broader crypto market stability

The timeline for this Toncoin forecast extends through year-end 2025, with initial confirmation signals expected within 5-7 trading days. Should TON break below $1.44 support, this prediction would require reassessment with downside targets becoming more probable.

Current market positioning suggests the question of whether to buy or sell TON favors selective accumulation near support levels, with tight risk management given the proximity to critical technical thresholds.

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