Pi Network Price Forecast: PI risks losing critical support as large transfer stirs market

• Pi Network’s token edges lower on Monday, risking a crucial support level breakdown.
• The social dominance score hits its 30-day moving average. 
• Pi Foundation wallet made a strategic transfer of 500 million PI tokens on Friday. 

Pi Network (PI) edges lower by over 1% at press time on Monday, marking a bearish start to the week. The mobile mining cryptocurrency is eyeing a record low as selling pressure grows alongside social chatter. 

Furthermore, the Pi Foundation made a strategic transfer of 500 million tokens on Friday to a new wallet, coinciding with the start of the ongoing correction. 

Large transfer from Pi Foundation creates buzz 

PiScan data shows the Pi Foundation #14 wallet made five consecutive transactions of 100 million PI tokens to different wallets. The move comes as a strategic transfer with no official announcement, days after the hints of a second migration phase from a PI moderator. 

Pi Foundation wallet transactions. Source: PiScan

Still, the sudden shift marks the first-ever withdrawal from the Pi Foundation #14 wallet, following an initial starting balance of 10 billion PI tokens. 

Furthermore, the social chatter surrounding the large transactions has increased the social dominance score of Pi Network to 0.202% among all crypto-related social media posts, crossing the 30-day average of 0.195%. 

Pi Network social score. Source: Santiment

Pi Network at a crucial crossroads

The declining Pi Network’s PI token puts pressure on the $0.3442 support level marked by the August 5 close. A bearish close to the day below this support level would extend the downcycle within the larger falling channel pattern, marked on the daily chart (shared below). 

Pi Network’s downtrend could find support at its record low of $0.3220 from August 1, before reaching the channel’s lower boundary line near the $0.2567 level. 

The momentum indicators are on the verge of flashing a sell signal on the daily chart as the declining trend gains traction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicates a potential crossover below its signal line, which would signal a bearish shift in trend momentum and trigger a sell signal. 

Furthermore, the downward-sloping Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 38 as selling pressure increases. The indicator also signals extended room for correction before reaching oversold levels. 

PI/USDT daily price chart.

Looking up, a potential rebound from the $0.3442 support level could retest the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which roughly coincides with the downtrend resistance of the falling channel pattern, at $0.4202.