The post SOL Technical Analysis Jan 31 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. SOL is trading at $101.69 with a 13.50% drop in the last 24 hours and under general The post SOL Technical Analysis Jan 31 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. SOL is trading at $101.69 with a 13.50% drop in the last 24 hours and under general

SOL Technical Analysis Jan 31

SOL is trading at $101.69 with a 13.50% drop in the last 24 hours and under general downtrend pressure. Oversold RSI (26.27) signals short-term recovery, but position below EMA20 and bearish MACD dominate structural weakness; if $96.40 support breaks, risk of deepening to $51 increases, however BTC correlation will play a critical role.

Executive Summary

SOL’s technical chart currently draws a clear bearish scenario: Price is trapped below EMA20 ($125.67) and Supertrend resistance ($129.82) at $101.69. Although RSI at 26.27 is in oversold territory, MACD’s negative histogram and high-volume downside momentum confirm the downtrend. Critical support at $96.40 (strength score 74/100) is being tested; a break activates bearish target $51.30 (score 22), while breaking $105.65 resistance (67/100) opens mild bullish potential to $150.86 (score 26). BTC’s downtrend at $77,620 creates additional pressure on altcoins. Risk/reward ratio from current levels points to 1:1.97 on the bearish side; short positions with $96.40 stop-loss are prioritized for short-term trades, while long-term investors should monitor BTC $75,720 support. This analysis provides a complete market picture based on multi-timeframe confluence.

Market Structure and Trend Status

Current Trend Analysis

SOL’s daily and weekly charts show a clear downtrend: Price has retreated 13.50% from the recent high of $118.85, maintaining lower high/lower low structure. Supertrend indicator gives bearish signal and $129.82 resistance line forms a strong ceiling. Short-term closes below EMA20 ($125.67) confirm the 20-day trend breakdown. On the 3-day timeframe, movement continues within a bearish channel; volume increase is required for breakout. From a weekly perspective, the correction wave ongoing since 2025 highs dominates, but oversold conditions may trigger dip buyers.

Structural Levels

Structural levels show multi-timeframe confluence: A total of 10 strong levels identified (1D: 1S/1R, 3D: 2S/4R, 1W: 2S/3R). Main support $96.40 (74/100 score, 1D/3D confluence), coinciding with the last 24-hour low and Fibonacci 0.618 retracement. On break, next target is $75-80 band (previous swing lows). On resistance side: $105.65 (67/100, near 1D EMA50), followed by $118.85 (daily high) and $129.82 (Supertrend). On 1W, strong resistance cluster concentrates in $140-150 range.

Technical Indicators Report

Momentum Indicators

RSI(14) at 26.27 in oversold region; this level is a warning for historical bottom rotations, but false recovery risk is high in downtrend (e.g., only 5% bounce after similar signal post-December 2025 bottom). MACD line below signal line, negative histogram expanding – momentum bearish with no divergence. Stochastic at 15%, Williams %R at -85; both carry short-term bounce potential, but overall confluence is bearish.

Trend Indicators

EMA crossovers bearish: Price below EMA20 ($125.67), EMA50 ($130.45), and EMA200 ($140.22). Death cross (EMA20 < EMA50) active. Supertrend drawing $129.82 resistance after bearish flip. In Ichimoku Cloud, price below cloud, Tenkan/Kijun death cross complete – trend weakness full. Parabolic SAR dots on top, giving sell signal. All trend indicators provide downtrend confluence.

Critical Support and Resistance Analysis

Supports: $96.40 (74/100, high-volume low, Fib 0.618), $85.50 (3D support, medium score 55/100), $75.20 (1W swing low, 62/100). Resistances: $105.65 (67/100, EMA21/round number), $118.85 (daily high, 70/100), $129.82 (Supertrend, 75/100), $140-150 cluster (1W resistance, 68/100). Pivot point analysis confirms R1 $105.65, S1 $96.40. Volume profile shows $96-100 high volume node (HVN) as strong support, $118+ low volume node (LVN) as weak resistance. Break probabilities: below $96.40 65% bearish, above $105.65 35% bullish.

Volume and Market Participation

24-hour volume at $8.74B unusually high – capitulation signal during downside, but OBV (On-Balance Volume) shows negative divergence (volume increases as price falls, but net outflow). Price below VWAP $108.20 indicates institutional selling pressure. 3D volume profile declining, buyer participation low; POC (Point of Control) around $102, aligned with current price. Trading 250% above weekly volume average carries trend-end exhaustion potential but BTC dump plays triggering role. Future volume spikes should be monitored for $96.40 test.

Risk Assessment

From current $101.69, risk/reward: Bearish target $51.30 (potential drop 49.6%, score 22), bullish $150.86 (48.3% rise, score 26) – ratio near 1:0.97, slightly bearish biased. Main risks: $96.40 break (high probability, triggered by BTC below $75k scenario), liquidity hunt. Positive risk: RSI bounce + BTC rebound. Volatility 8.5% (high), stop-loss suggestion $106.50 (above resistance), take-profit bearish $85/$51. Position size limited to 1-2% risk. For long-term holding, expect BTC $58k support.

Bitcoin Correlation

SOL correlates with BTC at 0.92; BTC’s -7.78% drop at $77,620 directly triggered SOL’s sharp decline. BTC Supertrend bearish, rising dominance accelerates altcoin selling. Critical BTC levels: Supports $75,720 / $64,655 / $58,878 – for SOL, $96.40 threshold syncs with BTC $75k. Resistances $79,044 / $85,199 / $91,260; BTC above $79k supports SOL $105.65 breakout. BTC downtrend continuation could drag SOL to $51; monitor BTC dominance for SOL Spot Analysis and SOL Futures Analysis.

Conclusion and Strategic Outlook

SOL’s full technical picture shows bearish dominance: Downtrend likely to test $96.40 despite oversold momentum, due to structural fragility and BTC negativity. Short-term strategy short (entry $101-103, SL $106.50, TP $96/$85), wait for $96.40 hold for bounce trade. For long-term bullish, need close above $129.82 + BTC $85k. High volume exhaustion carries bottom signal but risks forefront – patient approach recommended. This synthesis based on 10+ indicators and multi-TF confluence; market dynamics can change rapidly.

This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.

Senior Technical Analyst: James Mitchell

6 years of crypto market analysis

This analysis is not investment advice. Do your own research.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/sol-comprehensive-technical-analysis-detailed-review-of-january-31-2026

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

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