XRP Price Prediction: XRP Defends $1.89 Support, Breaks Descending Trend as $2.50 Emerges as a Conditional Target

The XRP price has spent several months trading below the $2.00 threshold, but recent developments suggest downside pressure may be easing. Continued defense of the $1.89 support area, alongside a break from a descending trendline, has led market participants to revisit near-term XRP price prediction models—while still emphasizing that confirmation remains incomplete.

XRP Holds Critical $1.89 Support as Bulls Maintain Control

Technical analyst ChartNerdTA highlighted the structural importance of XRP’s long-standing support near $1.89, describing it as a defining level for the broader market trend.

ChartNerdTA sees XRP as bullish above $1.89, with the support holding despite mixed sentiment and potential upside toward $2.50. Source: ChartNerd via X

“The XRP bulls are in control whilst price remains above its 13-month support base. Period,” the analyst stated, pointing to a horizontal range that has consistently absorbed selling pressure since mid-2025.

This support zone has been tested repeatedly following XRP’s retreat from highs near $3. Each test has been met with weakening sell-through in the $1.80–$1.90 range, suggesting growing buyer commitment. On-chain metrics from Santiment further indicate reduced token distribution, supporting the view that long-term holders remain engaged with Ripple’s XRP, which is driven by a utility-focused adoption narrative.

From a structural standpoint, maintaining this base preserves upside optionality while limiting the probability of a deeper trend breakdown.

XRP Breaks Descending Trend as Traders Watch RSI Signal

Complementing the supportive structure, XRP has recently broken above a descending trendline that had constrained price action for several months. Short-term chart analysis suggests that a sustained move above $2.01 could allow for incremental upside, provided momentum indicators confirm the shift.

XRP’s weekly chart tests an RSI crossover near 41.6, trading at $1.92 with neutral short-term bias amid ongoing consolidation and institutional interest. Source: JD via X

Trader focus has now turned to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on higher timeframes. Analyst JD noted that XRP is approaching a potential bullish crossover near the 41–42 zone—an area that has historically marked transitions from bearish to neutral trend regimes rather than outright momentum surges.

“Will we finally have a confirmed RSI cross, or reject and fall back into the grey box again?” JD asked, outlining downside risk toward the $1.40–$1.50 region if momentum fails to build.

However, RSI crossovers in range-bound markets are known to generate false signals. Without follow-through above resistance, such crosses can stall or reverse. As of now, the RSI crossover remains unconfirmed, keeping the XRP price prediction today in a neutral, wait-and-see posture rather than signaling a confirmed trend reversal.

XRP Price Today Reflects Consolidation Amid Mixed Market Sentiment

Despite recent technical progress, the XRP price today remains below the psychologically important $2.00 level. The asset has spent much of January trading between $1.88 and $1.95, reflecting broader indecision across the cryptocurrency market.

XRP was trading at around $1.897, down 0.72% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin

Daily indicators continue to present mixed signals. Short-term moving averages suggest lingering weakness, while RSI readings near 46 indicate neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Analysts largely characterize the current phase as consolidation rather than breakdown, particularly as volatility remains compressed.

Macro sentiment also remains cautious. The Fear & Greed Index has hovered in the “extreme fear” range, influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty and upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy decisions that continue to affect risk assets broadly.

ETF Flows, Institutional Activity, and Ripple Developments

Beyond technicals, fundamentals remain a secondary—but relevant—factor shaping XRP news today. XRP-linked exchange-traded products have recorded more than $1.2 billion in cumulative historical inflows, although recent sessions have seen uneven activity, including notable short-term outflows.

As of Jan 27, 2026, XRP trades around $1.88–$1.90, consolidating below $2.00 with support at $1.80–$1.86 and a mixed short-term outlook amid technical and institutional factors. Source: Rocksorgate on TradingView

Near-term price behavior, however, appears more sensitive to technical structure than ETF flows. Analysts generally view ETF movements as reflective of sentiment rather than a direct driver of immediate liquidity for XRP.

Meanwhile, Ripple continues to expand partnerships focused on cross-border payment infrastructure. Ongoing collaborations with regional banks and development around RLUSD support the longer-term Ripple XRP price outlook, even as near-term price action remains range-bound.

One near-term consideration is the scheduled release of one billion XRP from escrow in early February. While these releases are largely anticipated and structured, they can influence market sentiment temporarily rather than fundamentally altering supply dynamics.

XRP Price Prediction: $2.50 Remains a Conditional Target

Looking ahead, analysts broadly agree that XRP must first reclaim and hold the $2.00–$2.10 range before higher targets become technically actionable. A decisive move above that zone—supported by momentum confirmation—would strengthen the case for a medium-term scenario toward $2.50.

Conversely, a loss of the $1.89 support base would weaken the current structure and could reopen downside risk, potentially invalidating the constructive thesis and shifting focus back toward lower demand zones.

For now, the XRP price forecast remains balanced. The market shows signs of stabilization and improving structure, but confirmation is still required. XRP appears to be taking a pause, positioning itself for a potential move while its direction remains uncertain.