UNI Technical Analysis Jan 22

UNI is trading at the $4.82 level with a %3.92 drop intraday. While the primary downtrend continues, RSI at 35 signals oversold, but MACD remains bearish and Supertrend resistance holds at $5.91; critical supports near $4.50 are poised for testing.

Executive Summary

UNI/USD is trading at $4.82 as of January 22, 2026, having suffered a %3.92 loss in 24 hours. The market is dominated by downtrend, with price continuing to stay below EMA20 ($5.34) and Supertrend giving a bearish signal. Momentum indicators (RSI 35, MACD negative histogram) show weakness, while critical supports $4.5080 (75/100) and $4.7610 (66/100) stand out. Resistance levels concentrate at $4.8630, $5.1710, and $6.7898. Volume is moderate at $84.35M, but BTC’s downtrend is creating pressure on altcoins. Risk/reward is unfavorable for longs; bearish target $3.0750. Strategically, a $4.50 break signals sell, with a recommendation to wait for breakout above $5.17.

Market Structure and Trend Status

Current Trend Analysis

UNI is advancing in a general downtrend structure. On the daily chart, higher high/lower low is broken, with price down more than %30 from recent highs. Short-term trend is bearish; price is positioned below EMA20 ($5.34) and EMA50. The Supertrend indicator is in bearish mode and shows $5.91 resistance; trend change is not possible without a close above this level. Across multiple timeframes (1D/3D/1W), 13 strong levels were identified: 2 supports/3 resistances on 1D, 1S/2R on 3D, 2S/4R distribution on 1W confirming the downtrend. 24-hour range $4.77-$5.05 has narrowed, with low volatility.

Structural Levels

Main structural supports: $4.5080 (high-volume test, 75/100 score), $4.7610 (near EMA, 66/100). Reactions are expected before these levels break. Upper structural resistance: $6.7898 (weekly pivot, 65/100), intermediate resistance $5.1710 (63/100) and $4.8630 (60/100, daily minor). Price is currently trapped below $4.8630 resistance at $4.82; breakout or breakdown scenarios dominate.

Technical Indicators Report

Momentum Indicators

RSI(14) at 35, near oversold region (potential buying opportunity below 30) but no divergence in downtrend, bearish momentum continues. MACD histogram negative and below signal line, crossover bearish. Stochastic in the %20s oversold, but daily momentum weak. Overall momentum confluence bearish, RSI bottoming signal can be watched for short-term bounce.

Trend Indicators

EMAs: Price below EMA20 ($5.34), EMA50 ($5.80), and EMA200 ($6.20); death cross active. Supertrend bearish, trailing stop at $5.91. Below Ichimoku cloud, tenkan/kijun death cross. ADX at 28 rising, trend strength increasing downward. Bollinger Bands below middle band, contraction signaling squeeze before volatility breakout.

Critical Support and Resistance Analysis

Supports: $4.5080 (75/100, 1D/1W confluence, volume base), $4.7610 (66/100, near EMA20). Lower support $4.30 (monthly low). Resistance: $4.8630 (60/100, nearby minor), $5.1710 (63/100, 1D pivot), $6.7898 (65/100, 3D/1W target). Multi-TF 13 levels: Supports ready for bottom test, resistances for breakout. Bullish target $6.7898 (score 30, low probability), bearish $3.0750 (22 score). Price action: $4.77 daily low tested, hold critical.

Volume and Market Participation

24h volume $84.35M, %15 lower than previous days; decreasing volume on downmove shows bearish conviction. OBV negative divergence, buying participation weak. Not above VWAP $4.95, institutional selling dominant. Reaction volume should be monitored at high-volume supports ($4.50); low volume increases breakdown risk. Market participation is %0.5 of overall crypto volume, indicating reduced interest in UNI.

Risk Assessment

Risk/reward: Long entry $4.82, stop $4.50 (risk %6.8), target $5.17 (reward %7.5, R:R 1.1:1 low). Bear short: Entry $4.82, stop $5.17 (risk %7.2), target $3.075 (reward %36, R:R 1:5 excellent). Main risks: BTC downtrend continuation (correlation %0.85), volatility breakout, liquidity traps. Position size limited to %1-2 risk. Overall risk bearish bias high, longs risky.

Bitcoin Correlation

BTC at $89,458 down %0.80, downtrend and Supertrend bearish. UNI-BTC correlation 0.85; BTC $88,311 support break triggers %10-15 extra drop in altcoins. BTC resistance above $91,178 pulls UNI to $5.50 on buying rally. BTC dom bearish – cautious for altcoins; BTC below $86,715 tests UNI at $4.00. Main BTC levels: Supports $88,311/$86,715/$84,681; Resistances $91,178/$92,961/$96,783. Independent UNI movement difficult.

Conclusion and Strategic Outlook

UNI technical picture bearish: Downtrend, bearish indicators, BTC pressure. Short-term, if $4.50 holds, bounce to $5.17; on break, $3.07 bear target. Long-term, if 1W supports hold, recovery possible, but confluence bearish. Strategy: Sell-on-rally $4.86-$5.17, long only on $4.50 confirm. Follow UNI Spot Analysis and UNI Futures Analysis. Professional approach: Risk management priority, monitor news flow. Full outlook bearish continuation.