Timothy Morano
Jan 15, 2026 09:21
Toncoin (TON) is trading at $1.79 as of January 15, 2026, showing modest gains of 0.90% over the past 24 hours. With technical indicators painting a mixed but increasingly bullish picture, this TON…
Toncoin (TON) is trading at $1.79 as of January 15, 2026, showing modest gains of 0.90% over the past 24 hours. With technical indicators painting a mixed but increasingly bullish picture, this TON price prediction analyzes the key levels and scenarios that could drive the cryptocurrency toward previously forecasted targets.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.85-$1.95
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.20-$2.40 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.95 (Upper Bollinger Band)
• Critical support: $1.70-$1.74
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
While specific analyst predictions from major crypto influencers are limited in recent hours, recent forecasts from established platforms provide clear direction for this Toncoin forecast. According to CoinCodex analysis from January 7, 2026, “Toncoin is expected to reach a price of $2.40 by Jan 12, 2026.”
This target has been echoed by multiple sources, with Blockchain.News noting on January 10 that “TON shows mixed signals as analysts eye $2.40 targets while technical indicators suggest consolidation around $1.76 support levels.” The consistency of the $2.40 target across multiple analytical platforms suggests strong technical confluence at this level.
According to on-chain data, TON’s current positioning above key moving averages supports these bullish projections, though the cryptocurrency is still trading significantly below its 200-day SMA of $2.48.
TON Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical setup for TON reveals a cryptocurrency in transition between consolidation and potential breakout. With an RSI of 56.37, Toncoin sits in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold. This positioning typically allows for movement in either direction based on market catalysts.
The MACD histogram reading of 0.0000 indicates bullish momentum is building, with the MACD line at 0.0421 matching the signal line exactly. This convergence often precedes significant price movements, and the positive MACD values suggest upward bias.
Bollinger Bands analysis shows TON trading at 58% of the distance between the lower and upper bands, positioned at $1.79 between the lower band at $1.57 and upper band at $1.95. This middle-band positioning suggests room for movement toward either extreme.
Key resistance levels are clearly defined at $1.82 (immediate) and $1.85 (strong), while support holds at $1.74 (immediate) and $1.70 (strong). The Average True Range of $0.10 indicates moderate volatility, typical for established cryptocurrencies during consolidation phases.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case for this TON price prediction, a break above the $1.85 strong resistance could trigger momentum toward the upper Bollinger Band at $1.95. Success at this level would likely propel TON toward the analyst-targeted $2.40 level, representing a 34% gain from current prices.
Technical confirmation would come from RSI pushing above 60 and MACD histogram turning decisively positive. The bullish scenario aligns with TON trading above all shorter-term moving averages (7, 20, and 50-day SMAs), indicating underlying strength.
Volume confirmation would be crucial, with the current 24-hour volume of $8.9 million on Binance suggesting moderate but not overwhelming interest. A surge above $15 million in daily volume could signal institutional accumulation supporting higher prices.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case centers on TON’s position significantly below its 200-day SMA of $2.48, indicating longer-term downtrend pressure. A breakdown below the $1.74 immediate support could trigger selling toward the $1.70 strong support level.
Further weakness might target the lower Bollinger Band at $1.57, representing a 12% decline from current levels. The neutral RSI provides little cushion against selling pressure if negative catalysts emerge.
Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting Telegram-associated projects, or failure to maintain current support levels during low-volume periods.
Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy
For this Toncoin forecast, strategic entry points emerge at current levels around $1.79, with additional accumulation opportunities on any dip toward $1.74-$1.76 support. Conservative investors might wait for a confirmed break above $1.85 before establishing positions.
Stop-loss levels should be placed below $1.70 to limit downside exposure while allowing for normal price fluctuation. Position sizing should account for the 12% potential decline to the lower Bollinger Band.
Risk management suggests allocating no more than 2-3% of portfolio value to individual cryptocurrency positions, with TON’s moderate volatility (ATR: $0.10) making it suitable for intermediate-term holding strategies.
Conclusion
This TON price prediction points toward cautious optimism, with technical indicators supporting a move toward $2.40 over the coming weeks. The convergence of analyst targets, supportive shorter-term moving averages, and building MACD momentum creates a favorable setup for patient investors.
However, the significant gap to the 200-day SMA reminds us that TON remains in a longer-term recovery phase. Confidence level for reaching $2.40 by month-end stands at moderate (60%), contingent on broader market stability and volume confirmation.
Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260115-price-prediction-ton-targets-240-by-month-end-as
